Newport Corinthians vs Llwydcoed AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
7.3%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
74.4%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
15.7%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.7%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llwydcoed AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
CAM
3 - 0
LLW
24%
23%
54%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
LLW
0 - 3
ABE
19%
21%
60%
|
32 | 61 | 29 | +14 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
LLW
1 - 0
FLI
17%
20%
63%
|
26 | 50 | 24 | +6 |
| 08 Oct. 2008 |
LFC
1 - 6
LLW
18%
22%
60%
|
26 | 8 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
MAE
2 - 1
LLW
75%
16%
9%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |