Newport City vs Llanelli Town AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
55.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+157%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
NWC
5 - 1
LID
33%
21%
47%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
PON
0 - 2
NWC
72%
17%
11%
|
33 | 55 | 22 | +2 |
| 03 Jan. 2025 |
NWC
1 - 2
TRE
34%
25%
42%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
CWM
0 - 1
NWC
62%
18%
21%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
NWC
3 - 1
CAE
18%
21%
62%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | +6 |
Matches
Llanelli Town AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
LLA
2 - 0
LLA
77%
15%
8%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
LID
0 - 1
LLA
14%
20%
66%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2024 |
LLA
2 - 0
BDG
71%
17%
12%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
AAF
0 - 2
LLA
19%
22%
60%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
LLA
1 - 1
CAM
72%
17%
11%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |