Newport City vs Carmarthen Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.7%
13%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13%
79%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.1%
0-4
7%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11%
0-5
4%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.9%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.7%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CCF
1 - 2
NWC
36%
22%
42%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 3
LID
66%
19%
15%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
YAF
1 - 5
CAR
13%
20%
67%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 1
BAR
32%
26%
42%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 1
TRE
70%
17%
12%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
GOY
2 - 3
CAR
25%
24%
51%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | +1 |