Newport City vs Ammanford AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.4%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
73.4%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.1%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.5%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+153%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
LLA
2 - 0
NWC
70%
17%
12%
|
9 | 41 | 32 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
NWC
0 - 2
ABE
10%
14%
76%
|
10 | 27 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
NWC
0 - 2
CAR
8%
13%
79%
|
11 | 46 | 35 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CCF
1 - 2
NWC
36%
22%
42%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ammanford AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
AAF
1 - 0
CAR
16%
21%
63%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
AAF
0 - 3
HAV
14%
21%
65%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
TAF
1 - 3
AAF
31%
26%
43%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ABB
0 - 7
AAF
21%
21%
59%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
BRI
4 - 0
AAF
74%
17%
9%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |