Newmarket vs Centenary Stormers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
12.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newmarket
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
ACA
0 - 4
NEW
16%
17%
67%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
NEW
2 - 1
BRI
76%
14%
11%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 2
BRK
56%
19%
25%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
MGH
0 - 0
NEW
41%
21%
39%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
NEW
3 - 1
WES
85%
9%
5%
|
28 | 9 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Centenary Stormers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
STO
1 - 4
BRK
28%
21%
51%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
ACA
2 - 1
STO
16%
19%
65%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
STO
7 - 1
ACA
83%
11%
6%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
STO
0 - 3
VIR
34%
20%
46%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -2 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
BRI
3 - 1
STO
26%
21%
53%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | -1 |