Newell's Old Boys vs Unión Santa Fe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
29.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
BOC
4 - 1
NOB
57%
24%
19%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
NOB
5 - 0
RAC
31%
27%
42%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CEN
2 - 0
NOB
55%
25%
20%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
SMA
2 - 1
NOB
38%
28%
34%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2015 |
LAN
2 - 1
NOB
52%
26%
22%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2016 |
CAU
1 - 1
SMA
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
ATT
2 - 0
CAU
32%
26%
42%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
CAU
3 - 0
TEM
60%
23%
17%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
DYJ
2 - 2
CAU
35%
26%
39%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
CAU
1 - 2
ALD
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |