Newell's Old Boys vs Sarmiento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
20.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
ALD
1 - 2
NOB
35%
28%
38%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
NOB
2 - 0
GLP
37%
29%
35%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
TAL
2 - 1
NOB
49%
26%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
VEL
0 - 1
NOB
56%
25%
20%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
SLP
1 - 0
NOB
10%
21%
69%
|
79 | 53 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2022 |
SAR
1 - 2
IND
29%
27%
45%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
CAU
1 - 0
SAR
54%
26%
20%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ALD
1 - 2
SAR
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
SAR
0 - 0
GLP
30%
28%
42%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
VEL
1 - 1
SAR
69%
20%
11%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |