Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 2-4
Newell's Old Boys vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
31.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1993 |
NOB
0 - 1
VEL
37%
30%
33%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1993 |
EST
3 - 0
NOB
49%
29%
22%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1993 |
BEL
1 - 0
NOB
59%
25%
16%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1993 |
NOB
1 - 1
OLI
46%
28%
27%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1993 |
NOB
0 - 2
SMA
50%
27%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1993 |
SER
1 - 1
SAO
21%
25%
54%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1992 |
SAO
2 - 1
FCB
27%
27%
46%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1992 |
OLI
1 - 0
SAO
52%
27%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1992 |
SAO
1 - 2
OLI
51%
26%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1992 |
SAO
4 - 1
SAN
60%
24%
16%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |