Copa Libertadores Final
Global 1-1
Newell's Old Boys vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
18.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1992 |
EST
1 - 0
NOB
33%
33%
34%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1992 |
AME
1 - 1
NOB
48%
30%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1992 |
NOB
1 - 1
AME
53%
26%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1992 |
NOB
1 - 0
IND
57%
25%
19%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1992 |
SLO
1 - 1
NOB
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1992 |
BSC
2 - 0
SAO
31%
27%
42%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1992 |
SAO
2 - 0
NAU
64%
22%
14%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1992 |
SAO
3 - 0
BSC
73%
17%
11%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1992 |
PAY
3 - 0
SAO
23%
31%
46%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1992 |
CRI
1 - 1
SAO
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |