Newell's Old Boys vs San Martín Tucumán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
21%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
VEL
2 - 0
NOB
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
NOB
1 - 1
ARS
46%
27%
27%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
SLO
0 - 2
NOB
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
NOB
1 - 1
BAN
46%
28%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
CEN
1 - 1
NOB
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
San Martín Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
SMA
0 - 1
GIM
49%
28%
24%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2009 |
BOC
3 - 0
SMA
72%
17%
10%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2009 |
SMA
0 - 1
GLP
41%
28%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
RAC
1 - 2
SMA
48%
27%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
COL
2 - 0
SMA
56%
25%
20%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |