Newell's Old Boys vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
22.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
NOB
2 - 2
GOD
51%
26%
23%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CEN
2 - 0
NOB
43%
28%
30%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
NOB
0 - 1
RIV
42%
27%
31%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
QUI
1 - 1
NOB
33%
29%
38%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
NOB
0 - 3
BAN
55%
25%
20%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
SLO
2 - 0
BOC
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
LAN
1 - 0
SLO
54%
25%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
SLO
1 - 2
IND
51%
27%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2014 |
ARS
0 - 0
SLO
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
SLO
0 - 2
TIG
53%
26%
21%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |