Newell's Old Boys vs Quilmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
14%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
13.4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2010 |
NOB
6 - 0
SAN
59%
22%
19%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
NOB
2 - 0
VEL
43%
27%
30%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
ARS
0 - 0
NOB
38%
28%
34%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2010 |
EST
1 - 1
NOB
50%
27%
24%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
NOB
1 - 0
RIV
52%
26%
22%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
QUI
0 - 1
ARS
37%
28%
36%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2010 |
RIV
1 - 1
QUI
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
QUI
2 - 2
ARG
30%
28%
42%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
IND
0 - 0
QUI
62%
23%
15%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
QUI
1 - 2
HUR
42%
28%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |