Newell's Old Boys vs Quilmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
16.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2005 |
NOB
0 - 1
RAC
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
GLP
0 - 0
NOB
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
NOB
3 - 0
ARG
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2005 |
SLO
4 - 2
NOB
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2005 |
NOB
5 - 0
INS
61%
23%
16%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
RIV
1 - 1
QUI
75%
17%
9%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
QUI
1 - 2
TFE
65%
23%
12%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
QUI
2 - 2
GIM
57%
25%
18%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
RAC
4 - 1
QUI
63%
23%
15%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2005 |
QUI
0 - 1
GLP
39%
28%
33%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |