Newell's Old Boys vs Quilmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
16.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2004 |
NOB
1 - 0
RAC
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
ARS
0 - 0
NOB
40%
27%
32%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
NOB
1 - 0
EST
57%
24%
18%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
RIV
2 - 2
NOB
65%
20%
16%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2004 |
NOB
3 - 0
INS
74%
18%
9%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2004 |
QUI
2 - 0
ARS
41%
29%
30%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
EST
1 - 1
QUI
57%
25%
19%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
QUI
2 - 2
RIV
23%
25%
53%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
INS
0 - 2
QUI
28%
29%
43%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2004 |
QUI
1 - 0
ARG
60%
24%
16%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |