Newell's Old Boys vs Nueva Chicago analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
14.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
RAF
1 - 1
NOB
25%
26%
48%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2003 |
NOB
4 - 3
TAL
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
LAN
3 - 2
NOB
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
NOB
0 - 0
RAC
43%
27%
31%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
CHA
1 - 1
NOB
35%
27%
39%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Nueva Chicago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
CHI
1 - 2
EST
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2003 |
BAN
2 - 0
CHI
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
RAF
1 - 1
CHI
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
CHI
3 - 0
TAL
43%
25%
32%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
LAN
1 - 1
CHI
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |