Newell's Old Boys vs Nueva Chicago analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
18.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2002 |
EST
3 - 3
NOB
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
NOB
0 - 2
CAU
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
HUR
0 - 2
NOB
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2002 |
NOB
3 - 0
TAL
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
CEN
0 - 0
NOB
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nueva Chicago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2002 |
CHI
1 - 1
IND
48%
25%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
VEL
2 - 1
CHI
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
CHI
2 - 0
BAN
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2002 |
BOC
0 - 0
CHI
78%
15%
7%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
RAC
1 - 0
CHI
59%
24%
17%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |