Newell's Old Boys vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
21.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2005 |
GLP
1 - 0
NOB
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2005 |
NOB
1 - 0
BOC
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2005 |
OLI
1 - 0
NOB
36%
27%
37%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
NOB
1 - 1
SLO
47%
27%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
LAN
0 - 0
NOB
43%
26%
32%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2005 |
IND
4 - 2
ARS
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2005 |
EST
2 - 2
IND
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2005 |
IND
1 - 1
RIV
29%
24%
47%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
INS
0 - 0
IND
33%
27%
40%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2005 |
IND
3 - 2
ARG
59%
24%
18%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |