Newell's Old Boys vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
31.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2003 |
BAN
0 - 0
NOB
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
CHA
1 - 2
NOB
40%
27%
33%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2003 |
NOB
0 - 2
COL
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
VEL
1 - 0
NOB
60%
23%
18%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2003 |
NOB
0 - 0
EST
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2003 |
IND
1 - 1
CEN
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2003 |
IND
3 - 1
EST
52%
26%
23%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
IND
0 - 1
SLO
36%
26%
39%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2003 |
BOC
3 - 1
IND
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
IND
0 - 1
BAN
61%
24%
16%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |