Newell's Old Boys vs Gimnasia La Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
29.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
TEM
0 - 0
NOB
22%
29%
49%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
NOB
3 - 1
ATT
49%
27%
25%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SAR
1 - 1
NOB
28%
29%
42%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
NOB
1 - 0
TIG
46%
27%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
QUI
0 - 1
NOB
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Gimnasia La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
GLP
0 - 0
EST
42%
28%
30%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
ARS
2 - 2
GLP
44%
28%
28%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
GLP
0 - 1
RAF
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
PAT
0 - 1
GLP
26%
29%
45%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
GLP
2 - 0
VEL
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |