Newell's Old Boys vs Estudiantes La Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
30.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
SLO
2 - 1
NOB
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
NOB
0 - 1
IND
42%
27%
32%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
CEN
4 - 1
NOB
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
NOB
0 - 0
BAN
44%
27%
30%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
BOC
3 - 1
NOB
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
EST
3 - 1
RIV
38%
25%
37%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
VEL
0 - 1
EST
51%
27%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
EST
2 - 1
CHI
73%
17%
9%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
GOD
1 - 3
EST
25%
29%
46%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
EST
7 - 0
GLP
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |