Newell's Old Boys vs Deportivo Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
18.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
SLO
0 - 1
NOB
38%
27%
34%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
ARM
1 - 2
NOB
10%
20%
70%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
NOB
1 - 0
RIV
40%
29%
31%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
UCH
0 - 2
NOB
49%
24%
27%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
EST
2 - 4
NOB
44%
27%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
LAR
2 - 2
EST
71%
18%
12%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
LAR
4 - 2
POR
76%
15%
9%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
TRU
1 - 1
LAR
40%
26%
35%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
LAR
1 - 5
OLI
41%
25%
34%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2013 |
OLI
2 - 2
LAR
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |