Newell's Old Boys vs Colón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
27.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2009 |
NOB
1 - 1
GIM
58%
24%
17%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
BOC
0 - 2
NOB
64%
21%
16%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
NOB
3 - 0
GLP
50%
27%
23%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
NOB
3 - 0
RAC
47%
27%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
SMA
2 - 0
NOB
34%
28%
38%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Colón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
COL
2 - 0
CEN
55%
25%
20%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
COL
1 - 0
GIM
58%
24%
18%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
RIV
2 - 2
COL
61%
21%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
BOC
3 - 2
COL
64%
20%
16%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
COL
0 - 1
EST
36%
27%
36%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |