Newell's Old Boys vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
28.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
CEN
0 - 0
NOB
49%
25%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
NOB
5 - 2
GLP
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
SLO
0 - 1
NOB
58%
23%
20%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
NOB
0 - 1
COL
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
OLI
1 - 1
NOB
32%
27%
41%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2004 |
MAR
4 - 2
VEL
21%
25%
54%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
VEL
3 - 1
EST
63%
22%
15%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
CHI
0 - 3
VEL
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2004 |
VEL
1 - 0
FEN
60%
20%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
VEL
2 - 0
RAF
69%
19%
12%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |