Newell's Old Boys vs Lanús analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
40.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2017 |
NOB
4 - 1
CEN
85%
12%
3%
|
79 | 39 | 40 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
CAU
2 - 1
NOB
41%
29%
31%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
NOB
3 - 2
OLI
52%
26%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
BOC
1 - 0
NOB
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
NOB
1 - 3
CEN
33%
27%
40%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2017 |
LAN
5 - 1
SBA
82%
14%
4%
|
85 | 36 | 49 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
LAN
1 - 0
EST
48%
26%
26%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
ARS
0 - 2
LAN
26%
26%
48%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 1
LAN
39%
25%
36%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
LAN
2 - 0
RAF
63%
23%
14%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |