Newell's Old Boys vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.5%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
39.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
NOB
0 - 2
TIG
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
CCS
0 - 3
NOB
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
NOB
0 - 0
ARS
45%
27%
28%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CAU
0 - 1
NOB
43%
28%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
IND
1 - 0
NOB
52%
27%
22%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
SAR
0 - 1
BOC
28%
28%
44%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
BOC
2 - 1
ALD
66%
23%
12%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
BOC
1 - 0
VEL
47%
27%
27%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
BOC
3 - 2
QUI
73%
18%
8%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
GOD
0 - 1
BOC
37%
28%
36%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |