Newell's Old Boys vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
25.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
RAC
1 - 0
NOB
33%
27%
39%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2014 |
IND
0 - 0
NOB
40%
27%
33%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
NOB
2 - 2
LAN
39%
28%
33%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
ALB
3 - 1
NOB
32%
27%
40%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
NOB
1 - 1
ARS
46%
27%
27%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
BOC
1 - 2
RIV
50%
27%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
RIV
2 - 0
BOC
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
BOC
1 - 1
RIV
50%
27%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2014 |
EST
1 - 0
BOC
43%
28%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
BOC
1 - 1
GLP
52%
26%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |