Newell's Old Boys vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 1981 |
TAL
2 - 4
NOB
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1981 |
NOB
1 - 1
RAC
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1981 |
CEN
0 - 0
NOB
46%
26%
28%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1981 |
NOB
0 - 1
FER
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1981 |
COL
1 - 2
NOB
33%
28%
39%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 1981 |
BOC
4 - 0
SLO
72%
18%
10%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1981 |
CAU
2 - 0
BOC
42%
29%
29%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1981 |
BOC
2 - 1
SAR
79%
14%
7%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1981 |
PLA
0 - 4
BOC
47%
27%
27%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1981 |
BOC
3 - 2
HUR
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |