Newell's Old Boys vs Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.7%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
23%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
LAN
0 - 2
NOB
44%
27%
29%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
CCS
0 - 1
NOB
38%
28%
35%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
NOB
3 - 0
DYJ
28%
27%
45%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
BOC
1 - 0
NOB
46%
28%
27%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
NOB
0 - 1
SAR
51%
28%
21%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
BEL
1 - 1
SLO
41%
29%
30%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2024 |
EST
1 - 0
BEL
64%
22%
14%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
RIV
2 - 1
BEL
69%
19%
12%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
RAC
4 - 1
BEL
62%
22%
16%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
BEL
4 - 1
CAU
45%
27%
28%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |