Newell's Old Boys vs Atl. Tucumán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
24.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SAR
1 - 1
NOB
28%
29%
42%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
NOB
1 - 0
TIG
46%
27%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
QUI
0 - 1
NOB
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2016 |
NOB
0 - 1
MOR
72%
19%
9%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
ATS
2 - 0
NOB
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ATT
0 - 2
EST
38%
28%
34%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
ARS
1 - 3
ATT
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ATT
1 - 0
RAF
57%
24%
20%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
ATT
0 - 1
DEF
82%
13%
5%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
NOB
2 - 1
ATT
48%
27%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |