Newell's Old Boys vs Atletico Rafaela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.6%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
29.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
CAU
2 - 2
NOB
32%
28%
40%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
NOB
1 - 2
ALB
44%
30%
27%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
BOC
0 - 0
NOB
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
NOB
0 - 0
QUI
43%
30%
27%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
GOD
1 - 1
NOB
40%
28%
32%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2012 |
RAF
2 - 0
COL
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
SLO
1 - 0
RAF
43%
28%
29%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2012 |
RAF
0 - 0
RIV
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
EST
3 - 1
RAF
48%
27%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
RAF
1 - 3
BEL
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |