Newell's Old Boys vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
34.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
NOB
0 - 1
CEN
52%
26%
22%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2014 |
RIV
1 - 0
NOB
43%
27%
30%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
NOB
1 - 1
QUI
57%
25%
18%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 4
NOB
49%
26%
25%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
ARG
0 - 0
NOB
31%
29%
40%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 0
JUN
50%
25%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 2
GRE
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 2
SFE
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
HUI
2 - 0
NAC
24%
26%
50%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ONC
0 - 0
NAC
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |