Newell's Old Boys vs Arsenal de Sarandí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
27.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CAU
0 - 1
NOB
43%
28%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
IND
1 - 0
NOB
52%
27%
22%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
NOB
0 - 1
SAR
54%
26%
21%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
ALD
1 - 2
NOB
35%
28%
38%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
NOB
2 - 0
GLP
37%
29%
35%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal de Sarandí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ARS
0 - 1
IND
33%
27%
40%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
SAR
2 - 0
ARS
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
ARS
3 - 0
ALD
54%
26%
20%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
GLP
2 - 0
ARS
57%
24%
20%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
ARS
2 - 2
VEL
31%
28%
41%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |