Newell's Old Boys vs Arsenal de Sarandí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
19%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2018 |
BAN
1 - 1
NOB
54%
25%
21%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
CEN
1 - 0
NOB
59%
25%
17%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
NOB
2 - 2
RAC
31%
26%
43%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
RIV
1 - 3
NOB
69%
20%
12%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
NOB
0 - 1
BEL
48%
26%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal de Sarandí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2018 |
ARS
0 - 0
ATT
34%
26%
40%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
ARS
0 - 1
BRO
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
ARS
1 - 2
IND
24%
27%
48%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
BOC
2 - 0
ARS
72%
18%
10%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2017 |
ARS
0 - 1
TAL
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |