Newell's Old Boys vs Arsenal de Sarandí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
19.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
EST
3 - 2
NOB
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
NOB
4 - 2
RIV
29%
26%
45%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
INS
4 - 3
NOB
20%
26%
55%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
NOB
1 - 1
ARG
64%
23%
13%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
BAN
0 - 1
NOB
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal de Sarandí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
RAC
1 - 0
ARS
54%
25%
21%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
ARS
0 - 0
EST
48%
28%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
RIV
2 - 0
ARS
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
ARS
2 - 1
INS
67%
22%
11%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
ARG
1 - 1
ARS
37%
29%
35%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |