Newell's Old Boys vs Argentinos Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
34%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2011 |
IND
4 - 0
NOB
46%
28%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
NOB
3 - 3
HUR
56%
25%
19%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2011 |
TIG
1 - 0
NOB
41%
29%
31%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
NOB
2 - 1
LAN
40%
28%
33%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2011 |
EST
2 - 1
NOB
57%
25%
18%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Argentinos Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
ARG
0 - 1
NAC
45%
27%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
ARG
1 - 0
ARS
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
RIV
0 - 0
ARG
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
NAC
0 - 1
ARG
50%
24%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
ARG
1 - 1
VEL
40%
27%
33%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |