Newell's Old Boys vs Argentinos Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
16%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
13.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
BAN
0 - 1
NOB
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
NOB
1 - 1
COL
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
HUR
0 - 2
NOB
21%
26%
52%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
NOB
0 - 0
CEN
46%
26%
29%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
VEL
0 - 0
NOB
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Argentinos Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
ARG
1 - 1
ARS
37%
29%
35%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
EST
1 - 3
ARG
68%
20%
12%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
ARG
3 - 3
RIV
18%
22%
60%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
INS
3 - 2
ARG
36%
28%
36%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
ARG
1 - 0
RAC
30%
27%
43%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |