Newell's Old Boys vs Argentinos Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
18.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1978 |
VEL
1 - 1
NOB
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
NOB
1 - 1
EST
79%
15%
6%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
ATL
2 - 2
NOB
41%
27%
32%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1978 |
NOB
0 - 1
TAL
50%
24%
27%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1978 |
TAL
1 - 1
NOB
63%
20%
17%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Argentinos Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1978 |
ARG
3 - 4
EST
76%
16%
8%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1978 |
ATL
2 - 5
ARG
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1978 |
ARG
1 - 0
BOC
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
RIV
2 - 1
ARG
69%
18%
13%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 1978 |
IND
1 - 2
ARG
65%
20%
16%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |