Newell's Old Boys vs Argentinos Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
17.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1976 |
CEN
2 - 1
NOB
20%
23%
57%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1976 |
NOB
3 - 1
SLM
76%
14%
10%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1976 |
HUR
1 - 0
NOB
21%
23%
56%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
NOB
2 - 0
FER
61%
22%
18%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
CEN
1 - 1
NOB
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Argentinos Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1976 |
ARG
0 - 1
TAL
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1976 |
SLO
0 - 0
ARG
65%
19%
16%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1976 |
ARG
0 - 1
COL
49%
24%
28%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
ARG
3 - 0
ALB
73%
17%
10%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
CEN
2 - 1
ARG
30%
26%
44%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |