Copa Libertadores Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Newell's Old Boys vs América de Cali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
20.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1992 |
NOB
1 - 0
IND
57%
25%
19%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1992 |
SLO
1 - 1
NOB
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
BOC
1 - 1
NOB
57%
25%
18%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1992 |
NOB
4 - 0
SLO
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1992 |
RIV
0 - 5
NOB
63%
23%
14%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
América de Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1992 |
AME
4 - 2
NAC
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1992 |
NAC
0 - 1
AME
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1992 |
AME
1 - 0
UCO
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1992 |
UCO
0 - 0
AME
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1992 |
SPC
3 - 1
AME
25%
25%
50%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | -1 |