Newell's Old Boys vs Almagro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.1%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.5%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
5.3%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2000 |
BEL
5 - 1
NOB
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2000 |
NOB
1 - 1
RAC
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
EST
0 - 0
NOB
41%
25%
33%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
GLP
4 - 3
NOB
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
NOB
0 - 0
CAU
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2000 |
ALM
0 - 1
GLP
16%
23%
62%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2000 |
CAU
3 - 0
ALM
72%
17%
11%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2000 |
ALM
0 - 0
ARG
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
BOC
2 - 0
ALM
88%
9%
3%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2000 |
ALM
0 - 1
CHA
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |