Newells Old Boys II vs Sarmiento II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
8.3%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newells Old Boys II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
NOB
1 - 0
TAL
41%
25%
35%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ROC
0 - 0
NOB
57%
22%
22%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
LAN
0 - 2
NOB
61%
21%
18%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
NOB
2 - 0
DYJ
50%
24%
26%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
GOC
0 - 1
NOB
44%
25%
32%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Sarmiento II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 1
CAU
32%
25%
43%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
BRC
0 - 0
SAR
36%
25%
39%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
TAL
2 - 0
SAR
79%
14%
7%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 1
BOC
18%
24%
58%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
LAN
2 - 1
SAR
81%
13%
6%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | 0 |