Newells Old Boys II vs Patronato II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
14.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newells Old Boys II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2022 |
CAU
1 - 1
NOB
27%
26%
48%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2022 |
NOB
1 - 2
PLA
42%
23%
36%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
ROC
2 - 1
NOB
47%
25%
28%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
SAR
1 - 2
NOB
44%
25%
31%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
NOB
2 - 3
ATL
52%
25%
23%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Patronato II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2022 |
PAT
0 - 2
BAN
26%
26%
49%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
PAT
1 - 1
CAU
40%
26%
34%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
ALD
1 - 0
PAT
57%
24%
19%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
PLA
0 - 2
PAT
65%
19%
16%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2022 |
PAT
1 - 2
SAR
26%
25%
49%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |