Newells Old Boys II vs Independiente II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
30%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newells Old Boys II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SAR
2 - 1
NOB
23%
23%
55%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2022 |
NOB
3 - 1
ALD
67%
20%
14%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
GLP
2 - 2
NOB
42%
25%
34%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
NOB
0 - 2
VEL
48%
25%
28%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
GOC
1 - 1
NOB
16%
22%
62%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
IND
2 - 0
CAU
50%
25%
25%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
IND
4 - 0
SAR
53%
24%
23%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
ALD
0 - 1
IND
30%
25%
46%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
IND
4 - 3
GLP
25%
24%
51%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
VEL
0 - 1
IND
63%
20%
17%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |