Newcastle Sub 21 vs Stoke City Sub 21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
25.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
4º
8º
8º
14
6º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 1 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2022 |
WBA
2 - 1
NWC
43%
22%
35%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2021 |
MAN
6 - 3
NWC
71%
17%
12%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
TOW
2 - 0
NWC
77%
14%
9%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
SHW
3 - 0
NWC
72%
17%
10%
|
38 | 64 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
BOL
3 - 2
NWC
58%
21%
21%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Stoke City Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2018 |
POR
4 - 0
STC
71%
17%
12%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2018 |
CUM
1 - 1
STC
75%
16%
10%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 2
STC
60%
21%
19%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2018 |
SUN
0 - 0
STC
78%
15%
7%
|
33 | 63 | 30 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2017 |
BCF
3 - 1
STC
78%
15%
8%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | -1 |