Newcastle U21 vs Middlesbrough U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.9%
41.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
4º
8º
8º
26
2º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 1 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
NOT
3 - 1
NWC
69%
18%
13%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2023 |
NWC
2 - 5
WBA
36%
24%
40%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
STC
2 - 2
NWC
28%
21%
52%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2023 |
NWC
2 - 2
LUS
22%
22%
55%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2023 |
SUN
2 - 1
NWC
45%
21%
34%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Middlesbrough U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
DCO
1 - 5
MID
11%
14%
75%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2023 |
MID
2 - 3
AVI
32%
24%
44%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
NOR
2 - 2
MID
76%
15%
9%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2023 |
STC
1 - 2
MID
30%
20%
50%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
MID
2 - 4
WBA
40%
24%
36%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |