Newcastle U18 vs Nottingham Forest U18 analysis

Newcastle U18 Nottingham Forest U18
22 ELO 26
10.1% Tilt 11.4%
7036º General ELO ranking 7422º
355º Country ELO ranking 367º
ELO win probability
23.5%
Newcastle U18
21.3%
Draw
55.3%
Nottingham Forest U18

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
Newcastle U18
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
55.3%
Win probability
Nottingham Forest U18
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Newcastle U18
-2%
-35%
Nottingham Forest U18

Points and table prediction

Newcastle U18
Their league position
Nottingham Forest U18
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
12º
12º
30
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Man. City U18
57
57
100%
Sunderland U18
53
53
100%
Man. Utd U18
44
44
100%
Everton U18
33
33
100%
Stoke City U18
32
32
100%
Derby County U18
31
31
0%
Liverpool U18
31
31
0%
Nottingham Forest U18
30
30
100%
Middlesbrough U18
30
30
100%
Blackburn Rovers U18
10º
26
26
10º
100%
Wolves U18
11º
26
26
11º
100%
Newcastle U18
12º
22
22
12º
100%
Leeds United U18
13º
20
20
13º
100%
Expected probabilities
Newcastle U18
Nottingham Forest U18
Play-offs for the title
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Newcastle U18
Nottingham Forest U18
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Newcastle U18
Newcastle U18
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Mar. 2023
NEW
Newcastle U18
2 - 7
Sunderland U18
SUN
21%
21%
58%
20 30 10 0
04 Mar. 2023
DER
Derby County U18
4 - 1
Newcastle U18
NEW
42%
22%
36%
21 20 1 -1
25 Feb. 2023
NEW
Newcastle U18
0 - 1
Blackburn Rovers U18
BLA
55%
20%
25%
22 20 2 -1
18 Feb. 2023
WOL
Wolves U18
1 - 6
Newcastle U18
NEW
48%
22%
30%
21 22 1 +1
11 Feb. 2023
MAN
Man. Utd U18
3 - 0
Newcastle U18
NEW
79%
13%
8%
22 34 12 -1

Matches

Nottingham Forest U18
Nottingham Forest U18
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Mar. 2023
BLA
Blackburn Rovers U18
2 - 4
Nottingham Forest U18
NOT
28%
23%
50%
27 21 6 0
04 Mar. 2023
NOT
Nottingham Forest U18
2 - 2
Liverpool U18
LIV
38%
22%
40%
27 27 0 0
25 Feb. 2023
EVE
Everton U18
2 - 2
Nottingham Forest U18
NOT
44%
23%
34%
27 26 1 0
18 Feb. 2023
NOT
Nottingham Forest U18
4 - 0
Man. Utd U18
MAN
19%
20%
61%
25 34 9 +2
11 Feb. 2023
SUN
Sunderland U18
3 - 1
Nottingham Forest U18
NOT
54%
21%
25%
26 27 1 -1