Newcastle Sub 18 vs Nottingham Forest Sub 18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
55.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
6º
12º
12º
30
2º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Sub 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
NEW
2 - 7
SUN
21%
21%
58%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
DER
4 - 1
NEW
42%
22%
36%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 1
BLA
55%
20%
25%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
WOL
1 - 6
NEW
48%
22%
30%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MAN
3 - 0
NEW
79%
13%
8%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest Sub 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
BLA
2 - 4
NOT
28%
23%
50%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
NOT
2 - 2
LIV
38%
22%
40%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
EVE
2 - 2
NOT
44%
23%
34%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
NOT
4 - 0
MAN
19%
20%
61%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +3 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SUN
3 - 1
NOT
54%
21%
25%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |