Newcastle U18 vs Leeds United U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.9%
41.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
3º
9º
7º
33
1º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
WOL
1 - 0
NEW
61%
19%
20%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
NEW
4 - 3
LIV
33%
20%
47%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
BLA
2 - 1
NEW
43%
22%
35%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
NEW
2 - 4
STO
68%
18%
15%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
NOT
1 - 4
NEW
53%
22%
26%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Leeds United U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2024 |
LEE
1 - 2
WOL
44%
22%
34%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LEE
1 - 4
MCI
11%
18%
71%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | -2 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
LEE
5 - 0
DER
33%
21%
46%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +3 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BLA
2 - 4
LEE
39%
22%
40%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
LEE
1 - 0
STO
63%
18%
18%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |