Qualif. Champions Tercera ronda Final
Global 5-0
Newcastle vs Željeznicar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
10.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
MAC
1 - 0
NEW
39%
25%
36%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2002 |
NEW
4 - 0
WHU
65%
20%
15%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2002 |
ZEL
0 - 1
NEW
32%
25%
43%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2002 |
SOU
3 - 1
NEW
32%
26%
42%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
NEW
3 - 1
WHU
65%
20%
15%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Željeznicar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
ZEL
2 - 0
ČEL
57%
21%
22%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
BOS
0 - 1
ZEL
15%
24%
62%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2002 |
ZEL
0 - 1
NEW
32%
25%
43%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
ZEL
0 - 1
RUD
85%
11%
4%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2002 |
ZEL
1 - 0
LSK
59%
20%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |