FA Cup 1/16
Global 1-2
Newcastle vs Wolves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
26.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1979 |
LEY
2 - 0
NEW
39%
29%
32%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1978 |
BHA
2 - 0
NEW
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1978 |
SHE
1 - 0
NEW
43%
27%
31%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1978 |
NEW
3 - 1
BUR
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1978 |
FUL
1 - 3
NEW
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1979 |
QPR
3 - 3
WOL
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1979 |
WOL
1 - 0
EVE
32%
27%
41%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1979 |
IPS
3 - 1
WOL
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1979 |
WOL
2 - 0
SOU
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1978 |
WOL
1 - 1
COV
44%
26%
31%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |