Newcastle vs Wolves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
39.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1959 |
MUD
4 - 4
NEW
69%
17%
14%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1959 |
NEW
1 - 2
TOT
52%
21%
27%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1959 |
NEW
4 - 0
EVE
60%
19%
20%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1958 |
NTT
3 - 0
NEW
52%
21%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1958 |
NEW
1 - 3
NTT
60%
20%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1959 |
WOL
5 - 0
BBU
76%
14%
11%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1959 |
WOL
1 - 2
CHL
77%
13%
10%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1958 |
WOL
7 - 0
OPA
79%
13%
9%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1958 |
OPA
3 - 5
WOL
36%
23%
41%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1958 |
NTT
1 - 3
WOL
36%
24%
40%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | +1 |